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Dr Kaukab Siddique | Editor-in-Chief Rajab 2,1430/ June 25, 2009, # 31

With thanks to Dr. Ismail Zayid, Canada:
The protests in Iran have fizzled out [except on CNN]. For a detailed analysis of the election and of President Ahmadinejad, we present a brilliant analysis by Nima Shirazi. It is lengthy but it will clear away the confusion created by CNN. Please scroll all the way down.

From Imam Badi Ali [North Carolina]

Spotlight #1: Why don't Muslims realize that they are physically under attack. It is fine to study religion and medicine but why don't they devote time to secure themselves by producing their own defense equipment. Are Muslims going to keep waiting till the next assault on them to realize that they don't have advanced tools of self-defense. The development of these sciences should be of the utmost priority.

Spotlight #2: Some are happy that Hamas has Gaza. Others are happy that PA has what is left of the West Bank. Are we forgetting the big picture that PALESTINE is OCCUPIED. Gaza and the West Bank are also occupied and quite helpless. The liberation of Palestine is central to the liberation of the Muslim world.

The month of Rajab has begun. For information on the Islamic calendar and news of the sighting of the crescent, please visit Dr. Omar Afzal's reliable web site: www.islamicmoon.com

Finally, the Karzai regime admits: Taliban are winning Big Time

June 22, 2009: The Afghan Interior Minister, Hanif Atmar, has been claiming for long that Taliban are insignificant. Every now and then he issues figures of how many Taliban his U.S.--installed regime has killed. {None have been substantiated.} New Trend observers say, looks like the facts on the ground finally overtook even the Interior Minister.

He admitted on June 22 that 150 districts of Afghanistan are threatened by Taliban take-over. Only the forts and check points set up by NATO are stopping a complete takeover. Secondly, another 40 districts have Taliban influence and presence but they are not in a position to takeover. Thirdly 11 districts are actually being ruled by the Taliban [in spite of the U.S. air force.]

[ Please scroll down all the way for the latest war news.]

Obama: Day 152
President Obama Interviewed by secularist Pakistani paper Dawn

Calls Islamic Resistance "Cancer." Wants Total Destruction of Islamic opponents. Outright Support for Kayani's Military Action
by Kaukab Siddique
[Associate Professor of English & Mass Communication.]

June 21, 2009: The daily Dawn [Karachi, Pakistan] published an interview which President Obama gave to its representative Anwar Iqbal in the White House. Dawn has a track record of opposition to Islamic groups in Pakistan, be it Jamaate Islami or the Taliban . Dawn routinely publishes the propaganda issued by the Pakistani military on a daily basis about its "achievements" in Swat.

President Obama was quite straightforward in his plans to cooperate with the Pakistani military for the TOTAL destruction of ALL Islamic groups opposed to the U.S. intervention in Afghanistan and Pakistan. Obama used the comprehensive term "extremists" to express his vision of TOTAl eradication of all Islamic movements opposed to America and its surrogates in Pakistan.

The words he chose to describe his vision of war and victory were well chosen to express TOTAL annihilation. Note that the U.S. already considers both the Taliban and Jamat-ud-Dawa as terrorist organizations and seems to be preparing the grounds to move against Jamaate Islami and Jamiat-ulama-e-Islam. Even Tablighi Jamaat will not be safe for long..

Hence, Obama did not name any one organization but used the word "extremists" to cover all of them.

The process of destruction he outlined in the interview is as follows, in his own words:
  1. " Isolate the extremists."
  2. Accuse the Islamic forces of "mindless violence."
  3. Accuse them of "assassinating moderate clerics."
  4. Accuse them of "attempt to disrupt the country."
  5. Support "the Pakistani military and the Pakistani government" against the "extremists."
  6. The destruction of Islamic forces must be TOTAL. "Root out extremism." No half measures or warnings. Go against the ENTIRE Islamic way of life. Not just "extremist" individuals but "extremism" [in other words Islam].
  7. Islamic forces which stand against America and the Pak military are a "cancer" says Obama. And we have "to make sure that this cancer does not grow." [Thus if Islamic resistance is a cancer, it's not difficult to imagine Obama's plan.]
  8. America, says Obama, is and has been supporting Pakistan militarily but wants to ensure that the military support is used against the Islamic resistance. "It is important to make sure that military support is directed at extremists and our common enemies" and not against India. He dodged questions about Kashmir and India.

Obama: Day 153
U.S. Drones Hit Pakistani Funeral with 9 missiles: 75 killed 150 wounded

June 23, 2009: South Waziristan, Khwaza Kalay area. The day began with a missile attack from a drone which killed 5 people. Later on during the day when hundreds of people gathered to bury the dead, U.S. drones returned and fired at least nine missiles into the crowd killing 70 people and wounding 150. Most of the dead were mutilated beyond recognition. Many of the wounded are in a serious condition and may die,

Villagers report that those who tried to flee the funeral area after the attack were pursued by drones which fired at their vehicles and destroyed them.

[Late reports say that Pak Taliban leader Baitullah Mehsud was rumored to be coming to attend the funeral because one of his commanders was killed in the first attack. Looks like the U.S. killed 70 more people in the hope of hitting Mehsud. Pak Taliban issued a statement that their leadership is safe and unhurt. Those killed were civilians.]
[Ed. Note: Pakistani Taliban do not have anti-aircraft guns.]

Helping our Readers to understand the Emerging Pakistan
Among Masses of Pakistan, a Wave of Support for Taliban is Undercutting Conventional Religion

These are in Urdu language only. Our Pakistani readers will understand them.
However, there are some pictures too here which our non-Urdu readers will find interesting.

"Chiekh uthay hain yahood o nasara sabhee, Taliban aagaay, taliban aagaay"
[The yahood and nasara are screaming The Taliban are here, the Taliban are here.]

In the background, you can hear men and women chanting the refrain. Pakistanis are proud of the servants of Allah who are fighting the triple menace of USA, NATO and the 500,000-man rented army of Pakistan rented by the U.S. and led by Gen. Kayani. Taliban are facing such great odds and winning!

The third item is about Abdur Rasheed Ghazi [shaheed] and the massacre of Red Mosque and Jamia Hafsa by General Musharraf and his Israel-U.S. backed commandos. The shahadat of young women wearing hijab who were killed by the rented army, and the refusal of Ghazi [shaheed] to surrender to apostates inspired the uprising of young men, poorly armed but fearless, known as the Pak Taliban and the Shar'ia movement in Swat. The pictures are interesting. [Also references to Shaykh Usama.]

http://www.youtube.com/watch_popup?v=eQlB95rwjR8
http://www.youtube.com/watch_popup?v=21-OLpoMK_w
http://www.youtube.com/watch_popup?v=UuD92lHRCiY

French President Sarkozy's Latest Rant.
He feels threatened by Women's Islamic dress.
June 22,. Source AFP.

The Islamic burqa is "not welcome" in France because it is not a symbol of religion but a sign of subservience for women, President Nicolas Sarkozy said on Monday.
"We cannot accept to have in our country women who are prisoners behind netting, cut off from all social life, deprived of identity," he said. "That is not the idea that the French republic has of women's dignity."
"The burqa is not a sign of religion, it is a sign of subservience," he told lawmakers. "It will not be welcome on the territory of the French republic."

[New Trend says to Sarkozy: Muslim women can speak for themselves. Your arrogance cannot stop Islam. Islamic Law, Shar'ia, is the biggest defender of women's rights.]

Jamaat al-Muslimeen [news]
Islamic movement of non-Violent Resistance
P.O. Box 10881
Baltimore, MD 21234

U.S. Justice System a Farce: What happened in court at Appeal for Jack Johnson, Black Panther leader in prison for 39 years! Eyewitness account.

June 23, 2009: Baltimore, Maryland. This report is about a tragedy which can be called a kafkaesque nightmare. We got this report because two Jamaat al-Muslimeen activists visited the court where an appeal for Jack Johnson was to be heard.

Remember: America does not recognize political prisoners. The regime claims that all who fight it are criminals, not soldiers.

Forty supporters of Johnson had turned up in court, sacrificing their wages for a hearing in the middle of the day.

The judge showed up 45 minutes late, thus showing his contempt for the Black community.

During these 45 minutes, the people waiting in the court turned into a discussion group in which Jamaat al-Muslimeen representatives exchanged perspectives on Jack Johnson with his supporters. These are extremely dedicated people, patient, disciplined and disillusioned.

The hearing was a joke on the people. The well-fed White judge announced that the court had SOMEHOW misplaced or lost the court date for the hearing, so there could not be any proceedings because the court was not ready.

This didn't make any sense because both the defense and government attorneys were there and Jack Johnson himself was brought in under close custody of the police.

The judge apologized five times for the court having lost [or misplaced?] the date for the hearing. He made a sweet little speech about the dilemma created by Jack Johnson that he, on the one hand, was accused in a murder of a policeman, and on the other, having been in prison for THIRTY NINE years, had been a model prisoner and had re-educated himself. All this garbage was smoothly spouted by the judge as if he did not know that Johnson and Eddie Conway were railroaded.

On his arrest Johnson was beaten to a pulp by the police to extract a "confession" from him which he later recanted [to no avail], while Eddie Conway was trapped by an inmate-informant while he was awaiting trial.

How does a man, a Black Panther, who stood for the rights of the poor and oppressed, retain his dignity and humanity after spending 39 years in prison for a crime he did not commit! And then finds that, on the day of his appeal, that the court "lost" the court date for him. Such things don't happen even in third world countries.

After the judge closed the "hearing," the people gathered outside the court and steeled themselves for the next court date which is July 29 at 2 PM. We want 200 people to turn up!

Mian Tufail Muhammad Played Key Role in Jamaate Islami's Formative Stage.
by Kaukab Siddique, Ph.D

June 20, 2009: Maulana Maudoodi's right hand man who helped to put the roots of the Jamaate Islami movement into the soil of Pakistan is saying his last farewell. Owing to his efforts Jamaate Islamic emerged as a tightly knit, disciplined movement, the best organized force in Pakistan's history. It withstood the attacks and propaganda of dictator after dictator as well as the unremitting abuse and slander of secularized Pakistanis.

I was very close to him for some time. When he visited America, he travelled quite a distance to be my family's guest in Canada. When he became Ameer of Jamaate Islami, we argued. I differed with him on many issues. He countered my arguments and was very unhappy with me for a while. I've heard that later, much later, he forgave me. Events make some issues irrelevant.

There are few like him: a man who lives and loves and dies for Allah Almighty alone. Very virtuous, very pious, very steadfast. His wife totally sacrificed herself for him and his cause and for Allah. As the poet Milton put it about Adam and Eve: He for God, she for God in him!

In future issues of New Trend, we hope to translate some excerpts from his book Mushahidat [edited by Saleem Mansoor Khalid] which shed light on the role of Maulana Maudoodi's thought in the development of the idea of Pakistan as an Islamic state.

Global Ceasefire Needed: Free Leonard Peltier [Native American leader.]

THE CHANGE WE KNEAD NOW - BAKE BREAD FOR WORLD PEACE
call for nonviolent civil action.

Everyone is invited to join us outside the White House in support of the changes Americans voted for in the historic election of Obama. We spent trillions to bail out America's corporations now it s time to bail out the American people. On July 4, 2009 we will start baking bread with the sun outside the White House and ask people to sign this petition:
  1. Implement universal government-paid (Single-Payer) healthcare for all
  2. Free federal prisoner Leonard Peltier by executive order today
  3. Solar energy collectors available for every house
  4. Passenger trains connecting every city
  5. Organic gardening classes in every school
  6. Call for a global ceasefire
Visit thechangewekneadnow.net to down load your petition.
Sign Petition on line at: http://petitions.tigweb.org/thechangewekneadnow

Endorsed by: Cindy Sheehan, Country Joe McDonald - Singer/Songwriter, Thomas Mapfumo - Zimbabwe Afropop Musician, John Nichols - Author of The Milagro Beanfield War, David Barsamian - Director Alternative Radio, Leonard Peltier Defense Offense Committee, Pat LaMarche - Green Party vice-presidential candidate in the 2004 U.S. presidential election, Nikki Craft - radical political activist, Ellen Thomas - Proposition ONE in 2010! Campaign, Franco Mares - Singer/Songwriter, The Taos Peace House and Infoshop, Keith McHenry - cofounder of Food Not Bombs, Jamaat al-Muslimeen [Islamic movement in America]

THE CHANGE WE KNEAD NOW - BAKE BREAD FOR WORLD PEACE
P.O. Box 424 - Arroyo Seco, NM 87514 USA
thechangewekneadnow.net
575-770-3377

Peace Movement Activist Imam Gets Support in California Community

Letter from Imam Ali Siddiqui to Sonoma County Community

As Salaamu Alaikum, brothers and sisters.

Al-hamdulilah, we had a very successful community meeting on Saturday, June 13, 2009. I am thankful to Allah to provide me the opportunity to serve the Muslim Community. I am also honored for your trust in me. Please help me to serve you with your advise, suggestions, guidance, positive feedback, constructive criticism, and resources.

During the meeting I sought your help and I am delighted with your support. You have listed 44 expectations of Imam and 42 suggestions/ideas for the future program (see attached). I will insha-Allah create a list of goals with priority based upon your input. I will start Quran Class for Children, beginner level (5-6 years) in couple of weeks. Please send me the names of your children who will attend the program by June 30. I will also follow up with a meeting of parents.

I will have office hours, every other Friday starting June 26 from 2:30 to 3:30 to start with; and on Saturdays from 7 pm to Mughrib. Please call my home: 545-5234 to make an appointment. Leave a message on my answering service with your name and phone number or send me an email: siddiqui@aol.com .

Please understand, I am duty bound from Allah to safeguard your trust and confidentiality. I am also bound by State of California under Laws for confidentiality. I cannot divulge any information about any person who may seek my counsel. If you seek any counseling it will be Faith Based (Islam). I am also a trained Chaplain for hospitals and prison system.

Lastly, I would like to urge you to participate in Salatul Jummah and attend Khutbah. It is the commandment of Allah for all believers, men, women, and youth:

"O You who believe! Leave all your transactions after the Azaan has been called for Jummah; and rush towards the remembrance of Allah. That is best for you, if you but knew it." Quran, Suratul Jummah, 62:9

I invite all of you to Jummah to make our masjid vibrant and alive on Jummah, the day of community. Please make arrangement for the youth to participate, too. Pass the word!

Jazakumullah Khairun, may Allah reward you and continue to guide me to serve the community.

Your brother in Islam,

Imam Ali Siddiqui
Islamic Center of Petaluma
222 Basset Street, Petaluma, CA 94952
siddiqui@aol.com
www.onenationforall.com
707-545-5234

From Sis. 'Aisha [Jamaat al-Muslimeen, New York City.]
Scandal of Jewish Inmates Living in Style "in" Prison Uncovered

New York City - Recently, a former Jewish inmate of Rikers Island compares the prison to a college campus becaue while serving nearly a 3 year sentence, he was rarely in a jail cell. While behind bars, most inmates endure rape attempts, poor diet, along with confinement. But, not so the Jewish inmates according to this whistle blower, whose identity has been concealed by the media for fear of retaliation.

This whistle blower, "Murray" worked in an office, attended bar mitzhvahs in the prison for other inmate's sons, watched DVD movies, spent unlimited time on the telephone, and ate great kosher food. Murray says he ventured between Riker's Island and the Manhattan Correctional facility known as the Tombs. He claims to have played dice games and poker to pass his time away. Now that he is out, he says that he should've been treated like the gentile inmates, who were confined.

Murray stated that he is coming forward because jail is no longer a deterrent for Jews. He said that many times, Jewish inmates were on the phone engaging in dirty talk with their wives or girlfriends. A bar mitzhvah was arranged for the son of noted scam artist, Tuvia Stern, in December 2008 at the Tombs. In 1989, Stern was charged with scamming people out of 1.7 million dollars. He fled to Brazil with his wife and five kids and was only caught in 2006 while trying to enter England. It was only 2008 that he was returned to the United States last year.

Rabbi Ganz was suspended for arranging the bar mitzhvah.

This preferential treatment afforded Murray and other Jewish inmates was okayed by Orthodox Brooklyn rabbi and corrections department chaplain Leib Glanz. Glanz and The Department of Corrections Chief, Peter Curcio, have both resigned as a result of these allegations. The city is investigating all of the allegations.

Note: An article about rapper Foxy Brown receiving preferential treatment while she serves her sentence for violating parole, was in the New York Post. I suspect it was to counter the scandal of all of those Jewish inmates having received preferential treatment for years. How does it compare to a lone celebrity being given such treatment? It doesn't.

Letter: Very High Praise for New Trend from a Distinguished Scholar Respected Across America

Asalamu Alaikum:
Always New Trend brings light, light upon light. In this issue, especially of note, is Dr Kaukab Siddique's analysis of the election outcome and the historic turning point in Iran. It is brilliant, incisive, illuminating. In fact, it is the most incisive analysis of the unfolding situation in the Middle East and in Iran I have been blessed to come across. For these insights are my heartiest congratulations to the editor of the greatly needed New Trend, the brightest light in the media of the world. walaikum asalam!

Abdulalim A Shabazz
[Endowed Chair, Distinguished Professor of Mathematics
Grambling University, Louisiana]

Letter: Correct Analysis of Iran
Kaukab Bhai,
Assalamu alaikum. Your analysis of the situation in Iran is 100% correct. Jazakallahu khairan.

Regards,
Waheed
[The writer is an Imam in Wisconsin.]

Letter: New Trend's Iran Analysis is all Wrong

salaam brother
your sources on the election is wrong. there was a historic fraud and most iranians (31 millions) voted to Mousavi and this has nothing to do with Amanpour or any other foreign agents. Here in Iran a few have hijacked the election for their own agenda.

best
leo [Tehran]

Kashmir
Attack on Islamic Identity in Kashmir: India Supporting Prostitution in Kashmir
(K. Hamza) [Exclusive to New Trend from India]

Widespread popular rage against India has been intensifying owing to the Islamic movement in Jammu and Kashmir. "Long live Kashmir. We want freedom" chanted the crowd of young men, who, armed with iron bars and axes, had demolished some brothels in the Valley where prostitution had been rampant during tourist season. The latest demolition was the brothel run by Ms Sabina Hamid Bulla who were catering young girls to top politicians, bureaucrats and businessmen from India.
Hameeda Nayeem, a Kashmiri University scholar unequivocally accused India that it maintained a "policy-based State patronage of prostitution" in Kashmir.
Ever since the Indian armed security forces strengthened their grip on Kashmir, there has been an apparent bid to wipe out Islamic culture from the region. The procedure of secularization is also gaining momentum in the State. A new trend of emulating the high-fashion Bollywood cine actresses has been emerging among the Muslim girl students. Recently, a career counselor had been sent to Srinagar schools to seduce students into a career of vice. A teacher also came under attack, after a video surfaced displaying that a group of students had danced to pop film music on a holiday in the town.
Islamic activists argue that India is engaged in a conspiracy in liaison with Israel to have a demographic change and an overall secularization of Jammu and Kashmir. Similar to the policy which Israel follows to bring Jewish settlers to occupied Palestine, Hindus are being brought to settle in the Muslim majority localities in Kashmir to convert it to a Hindu majority landscape. Kashmir's liberation patriarch, Syed Ali Shah Geelani had protested the State government's attempt to grant Hindus temporary land use rights for facilitating the annual pilgrimage to the Amernath Shrine in south Kashmir.
The Jamaat-e-Islami propagates that a carefully planned Indian conspiracy is at work to destroy the Islamic identity of the Kashmiris. Further the government of India dispatched a delegation to Andalusia, headed by a Kashmiri Hindu politician, D.P. Dhar, to study how Islam was driven out of Spain and how to apply such tactics in Kashmir too.

Youths in the age group 15-35 constitute nearly 40 per cent of the population in Jammu and Kashmir. This group represents the most vibrant and dynamic demographic segment, which, if diverted from Islam through secular education to the Indian mainstream culture, would weaken the separatist movement in the Valley. This is what the Indian government plans.

A fair and free election is unimaginable in Kashmir. In the last general election in the State, voters were being chased and forced to queue up at the polling stations by the armed forces. Soldiers had gone around knocking doors of houses, threatening to kill anyone who did not have a tell-tale indelible in-mark on their forefinger. So voters who just emerged from polling booths had to show their forefingers to the soldiers: the ink-mark as a proof of voting. But the traditionally conservative localities showed lackluster attitude and an alienation from government of India. The freedom fighters had threatened to chop off the finger that had a an ink-mark of casting vote. The liberals view the ink-mark a sign of India's evil design to contain their liberation spirit which every Kashmiri feels, longs and strives in the face of stark realities he or she faces.

War News: Pakistan

June 19-25: Pakistan's armored corp with jet fighter, helicopter gunships and heavy artillery support has made very little headway into South Waziristan.

In Swat, the Pak Taliban have re-emerged in a number of areas. Pak military which had claimed complete control of Mingora, now says 20% of Mingora is still in Taliban hands. BBC reports two Pak army battles with Taliban, one in Swat and one in Lower Dir in both of which Pak Taliban inflicted losses on Pak army and then withdrew successfully.

June 23, 2009: Dera Ghazi Khan. Zainuddin, a Mehsud commander who had turned against Baitullah Mehsud, was killed by one of his own security guards. The killer escaped. Zainuddin joined the Pak army's side in coordination with the army attack on South Waziristan. He claimed, like General Kayani, that Baitullah is not Islamic and is working with outside forces. [There is an intense military disinformation campaign going on against Baitullah.]

June 22, 2009: A first Taliban attack on the border of Batgram and Shangla, near the Pakistan-China Peace Bridge was reported. At least three policemen and the attacker [who was reportedly coming from Malakand] were killed.

Karachi: At a Peace Rally in Federal B Area, Sirajul Haq, Jamaate Islami leader from Frontier Province said that the regime has set a fire in Swat which may not be quenchable. The government wants dollars from America and is doing its bidding by using F-16s against the defenseless people, he said. Syed Iqbal, Jamaate Islami's district leader in Karachi, described Pakistani's armed forces as the rented forces of America. [Syed Munawar Hasan, Jamaate Islami's Ameer, has called for a mass rally in Karachi on June 28 to focus on putting an end to American intervention in Pakistan.]. A reptresentative from the Mehsud tribe also spoke.

War News: Afghanistan [Taliban guerrilla attacks are occurring across Afghanistan. This is a brief sample.]

June 23, 2009: In a clash with Taliban near the northern city of Kunduz, three German troops were killed. There were no Taliban losses. [BBC reports that Taliban move around freely in the Kunduz area while Karzai's "government" is nowhere to be seen.]

June 22: Taliban used rockets to score direct hits on the U.S. military base in Bagram, 23 miles north east of Kabul. U.S. says two of its troops were killed and 6 wounded.

June 21, 2009: U.S. sources say that a U.S. trooper from Georgia was killed in a Taliban attack in the Mado Zayi area. In another Taliban attack in the Kandahar area, 2 U.S. troops from Illinois were killed. [IEDs were used in these attacks.]

In Fraud, We Trust?

By Nima Shirazi | Wide Asleep in America | 23 June 2009

Douter de tout ou tout croire, ce sont deux solutions également commodes, qui l'une et l'autre nous dispensent de réfléchir.

To doubt everything or to believe everything are two equally convenient solutions; both dispense with the need for thought.

- Jules Henri Poincaré, La Science et l'Hypothèse (1901)

By now, we all know the story:

Still high from Barack Obama's Cairo speech and Lebanon's recent elections that saw the pro-Western March 14 faction barely maintain its majority in the Chamber of Deputies, the mainstream media fully expected a clean sweep for "reformist" candidate Mir Hossein Mousavi in Iran's June 12th presidential election. They reported surging poll numbers, an ever-growing Green Wave of support for the challenger, while taking every opportunity to get in their tired and juvenile epithets, their final chance to demonize and defame the incumbent Dr. Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, whom they were convinced had absolutely no chance of winning reelection.

The turnout was a massive 85% by most estimates, resulting in almost forty million ballots cast by the eligible Iranian voting public.

Before the polls even closed, Mousavi had already claimed victory. "In line with the information we have received, I am the winner of this election by a substantial margin," he said. "We expect to celebrate with people soon." However, according to the chairman of the Interior Ministry's Electoral Commission, Kamran Daneshjoo, with the majority of votes counted, the incumbent president had taken a seemingly unassailable lead.

And so it was. Ahmadinejad won. By a lot. Some said by too much.

It didn't take long before accusations started flying, knee-jerk reactions were reported as expert analysis, and rumor became fact. As Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei congratulated Ahmadinejad on his landslide victory, calling it a "divine assessment," the opposition candidates all cried foul. Mousavi called the results "treason to the votes of the people" and the election a "dangerous charade." Karroubi described Ahmadinejad's reelection as "illegitimate and unacceptable."

The Western media immediately jumped on board, calling the election a "fraud," "theft," and "a crime scene" in both news reports and editorial commentary. Even so-called progressive analysts, from Juan Cole to Stephen Zunes to Dave Zirin to Amy Goodman to Trita Parsi to the New Yorker's Laura Secor, opined on the illegitimacy of the results. They cited purported violations, dissident testimony from inside sources, leaked "real" results, and seeming inconsistencies, incongruities, and irregularities with Iran's electoral history all with the intention of proving that the election was clumsily stolen from Mousavi by Ahmadinejad. These commentators all call the continuing groundswell of protest to the poll results an "unprecedented" show of courage, resistance, and people power, not seen in Iran since the 1979 revolution.

To me, the only thing unprecedented about what we're seeing in Iran seems to be the constant media hysteria, righteous indignation, and hypocritical pseudo-solidarity of the West; a bogus, biased, and altogether presumptuous and uncritical reaction to hearsay and conjecture, almost totally decontextualized in order to promote sensational headlines and build international consensus for foreign intervention in Iran.

The foregone (and totally unsubstantiated) conclusions drawn by a rabid, clucking media have led to an ever-growing outrage over the elections results. Weak theories are tossed around like beads on Bourbon Street and assumed to be "expert analysis" and beyond reproach. By now, the accusations are well-known. However, with a little perspective and rational thought, the "evidence" that purportedly demonstrates proof of a fixed election winds up sounding pretty forced. With closer inspection and added context, the arguments crumble and are revealed not to be very compelling, let alone convincing.

We read that the reelection of Ahmadinejad was impossible, unbelievable. It was a sham, a hoax, and a coup d'etat. But, in fact, there is no alleged, let alone substantive, proof to suggest that the results were fixed beyond mere speculation, biased and baseless assumptions, and suspect hearsay. It appears quite clear that the pre-election predictions of a soaring Mousavi victory by the Western press were nothing more than the consequence of presumptuous wishful thinking. Analyst James Petras tells us,
"What is astonishing about the West's universal condemnation of the electoral outcome as fraudulent is that not a single shred of evidence in either written or observational form has been presented either before or a week after the vote count. During the entire electoral campaign, no credible (or even dubious) charge of voter tampering was raised. As long as the Western media believed their own propaganda of an imminent victory for their candidate, the electoral process was described as highly competitive, with heated public debates and unprecedented levels of public activity and unhindered by public proselytizing. The belief in a free and open election was so strong that the Western leaders and mass media believed that their favored candidate would win."
Most of these claims rest on the brash and offensive assumption that these "experts" know how Iranians would vote better than Iranians do. Clearly, they argue, Mousavi would win his hometown of Tabriz in the heart of East Azerbaijan, since he's an ethnic Azeri with an "Azeri accent" and Iranians always vote along geographical and ethnic lines. And yet, Ahmadinejad won that province by almost 300,000 votes. Curious, no?

Well, no.

As Flynt Leverett points out,
Ahmadinejad himself speaks Azeri quite fluently as a consequence of his eight years serving as a popular and successful official in two Azeri-majority provinces; during the campaign, he artfully quoted Azeri and Turkish poetry - in the original - in messages designed to appeal to Iran's Azeri community. (And, we should not forget that the Supreme Leader is Azeri.) The notion that Mousavi was somehow assured of victory in Azeri-majority provinces is simply not grounded in reality.
Furthermore, in a pre-election poll Azeris favored Ahmadinejad by 2 to 1 over Mousavi. Furthermore, Petras notes, "The simplistic assumption [of the Western media] is that ethnic identity or belonging to a linguistic group is the only possible explanation of voting behavior rather than other social or class interests. A closer look at the voting pattern in the East-Azerbaijan region of Iran reveals that Mousavi won only in the city of Shabestar among the upper and the middle classes (and only by a small margin), whereas he was soundly defeated in the larger rural areas, where the re-distributive policies of the Ahmadinejad government had helped the ethnic Azeris write off debt, obtain cheap credits and easy loans for the farmers. Mousavi did win in the West-Azerbaijan region, using his ethnic ties to win over the urban voters."

Additionally, it should be noted that, although there is a wide diversity of ethnic groups within Iranian society, most of them share a common history and Iranian identity. This is certainly the case within the Azeri community of Northwest Iran. We have been told for quite some time now that "public opinion polls suggest that foreign pressure to discontinue Iran's nuclear program has contributed to a rise in patriotism because public support for the Iran's nuclear program has been strong. Support for the program transcends political factions and ethnic groups." Considering that Ahmadinejad's four years of standing strong in the face of such aggressive and threatening foreign pressure has played well with the public, as opposed to Mousavi's more conciliatory tone with regards to bettering relations with Western powers, it is hardly a stretch or a surprise that Ahmadinejad would be supported by such large swaths of the population across all demographics.

The voting habits of ethnic Lur voters in reformist candidate Mehdi Karroubi's home province are also assumed to be known by Western analysts. If he won five million votes in 2005, why did he only clear about 300,000 this time around? How could Ahmadinejad win in Tehran, when Mousavi's base of upper and middle class cosmopolitan youths, university students, and wealthy business-owners reside there? Plus, Mousavi is said to have been popular in urban areas, where Ahmadinejad was seen as holding less sway. So how could Mousavi possibly lose? These questions are valid, for sure, but they have equally rational answers.

Karroubi wasn't a contender in this race like he was four years ago. There was no incumbent president at that time (President Khatami had just completed his second term) and the candidate field was wide open. Karroubi had a pro-reform and pro-populist message that appealed to many unsure of whom to vote for. He did well in his hometown. But 2009 is not 2005. After four years of Ahmadinejad's presidency, the rural Iranian voting bloc strongly supports his economic, domestic, and foreign policies. It is irresponsible to assume that Karroubi's "reformist" support would turn heavily to Mousavi since Karroubi had no chance of winning this year. He has long been a staunch opponent of Iranian political stalwart and former president Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, who is closely aligned with Mousavi. Karroubi's populist approach to the economy is more like Ahmadinejad's than Mousavi's.

Esam Al-Amin, writing for Counterpunch, astutely observes,
The double standard applied by Western news agencies is striking. Richard Nixon trounced George McGovern in his native state of South Dakota in the 1972 elections. Had Al Gore won his home state of Tennessee in 2000, no one would have cared about a Florida recount, nor would there have been a Supreme Court case called Bush v. Gore. If Vice-Presidential candidate John Edwards had won the states he was born and raised in (South and North Carolina), President John Kerry would now be serving his second term. But somehow, in Western newsrooms Middle Eastern people choose their candidates not on merit, but on the basis of their "tribe."

The fact that minor candidates such as Karroubi would garner fewer votes than expected, even in their home regions as critics charge, is not out of the ordinary. Many voters reach the conclusion that they do not want to waste their votes when the contest is perceived to be between two major candidates. Karroubi indeed received far fewer votes this time around than he did in 2005, including in his hometown. Likewise, Ross Perot lost his home state of Texas to Bob Dole of Kansas in 1996, while in 2004, Ralph Nader received one eighth of the votes he had four years earlier.
Ahmadinejad didn't win Tehran, even though this falsehood is repeated constantly in the Western press as evidence of vote tampering. He won Tehran province, yes, but not the metropolitan area. In Tehran proper, which has a total population of about 7.7 million, Mousavi received 2,166,245 votes, which is over 356,000 more than the incumbent Ahmadinejad, and in Shemiranat - the affluent and westernized Northern section of the greater Tehran area, abounding with shopping malls and luxury cars - Mousavi beat Ahmadinejad by almost a 2 to 1 margin, winning 200,931 votes to Ahmadinjead's 102,433. In fact, according to the official numbers, Ahmadinejad lost in most cities around the country, including Ardabil, Ardakan, Aqqala, Bandar Torkaman, Baneh, Bastak, Bukan, Chabahar, Dalaho, Ganaveh, Garmi, Iranshahr, Javanroud, Kalaleh, Khaf, Khamir, Khash, Konarak, Mahabad, Mako, Maraveh Tappeh, Marivan, Miandoab, Naghadeh, Nikshahr, Oshnavieh, Pars-Abad, Parsian, Paveh, Pilehsavar, Piranshahr, Qeshm, Ravansar, Shabestar, Sadooq, Salmas, Saqqez, Saravan, Sardasht, Showt, Sibsouran, Yazd, Zaboli, and Zahedan. This deficit was more than made up for, however, in working class suburbs, small towns and rural areas. (Since the election, Ahmadinejad's detractors have enjoyed flaunting the statistic that only 30% of Iranians live in the countryside, without realizing that the adjoining blue-collar neighborhoods and less affluent suburban sprawl of urban centers are not counted as "rural" areas.)

But weren't the pre-election polls indicating an easy victory for Mousavi? No, they weren't. An Iranian opinion poll from early May, conducted in Tehran as well as 29 other provincial capitals and 32 important cities, showed that "58.6% will cast their ballots in favor of Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, while some 21.9% will vote for Mousavi." Even though Western media likes to tell us that polling is notoriously difficult in Iran, there was plenty of pre-election data to analyze. Al-Amin writes,
More than thirty pre-election polls were conducted in Iran since President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and his main opponent, former Prime Minister Mir Hossein Mousavi, announced their candidacies in early March 2009. The polls varied widely between the two opponents, but if one were to average their results, Ahmadinejad would still come out on top. However, some of the organizations sponsoring these polls, such as Iranian Labor News Agency and Tabnak, admit openly that they have been allies of Mousavi, the opposition, or the so-called reform movement. Their numbers were clearly tilted towards Mousavi and gave him an unrealistic advantage of over 30 per cent in some polls. If such biased polls were excluded, Ahmadinejad's average over Mousavi would widen to about 21 points.
One poll conducted before the election by two US-based non-profit organizations forecast Ahmadinejad's reelection with surprising prescience. The survey was jointly commissioned by the BBC and ABC News, funded by the Rockefeller Brothers Fund, and conducted by the New America Foundation's nonprofit Center for Public Opinion, which, "has a reputation of conducting accurate opinion polls, not only in Iran, but across the Muslim world since 2005." The poll predicted an election day turnout of 89%, only slightly higher than the actual 85% who voted (that's a difference of fewer than 2 million ballots). According to pollsters Ken Ballen and Patrick Doherty, the "nationwide public opinion survey of Iranians three weeks before the vote showed Ahmadinejad leading by a more than 2 to 1 margin - greater than his actual apparent margin of victory in Friday's election."

Moreover, we hear incessantly about Iran's all-important youth vote. According to many estimates, about 60% of Iran's population is under 30 years old; however, what isn't often reported is that almost a quarter of the population is actually under 15 years old. There are about 25 million Iranians between 15 and 29, which is about 36% of the population of the entire country. Voting age in Iran is 18. Additionally, Ballen and Doherty conclude,
"Much commentary has portrayed Iranian youth and the Internet as harbingers of change in this election. But our poll found that only a third of Iranians even have access to the Internet, while 18-to-24-year-olds comprised the strongest voting bloc for Ahmadinejad of all age groups.

The only demographic groups in which our survey found Mousavi leading or competitive with Ahmadinejad were university students and graduates, and the highest-income Iranians. When our poll was taken, almost a third of Iranians were also still undecided. Yet the baseline distributions we found then mirror the results reported by the Iranian authorities, indicating the possibility that the vote is not the product of widespread fraud."
Furthermore, this poll was conducted before Ahmadnejad's impressive showing in widely watched televised debates against his opponents. The debates, aired live nightly between June 2nd and 8th, pitted candidates one-on-one for ninety minutes. According to news reports, the Ahmadinejad-Mousavi debate was watched by more than 40 million people. Leverett notes,
American "Iran experts" missed how Ahmadinejad was perceived by most Iranians as having won the nationally televised debates with his three opponents - especially his debate with Mousavi.

Before the debates, both Mousavi and Ahmadinejad campaign aides indicated privately that they perceived a surge of support for Mousavi; after the debates, the same aides concluded that Ahmadinejad's provocatively impressive performance and Mousavi's desultory one had boosted the incumbent's standing. Ahmadinejad's charge that Mousavi was supported by Rafsanjani's sons - widely perceived in Iranian society as corrupt figures - seemed to play well with voters.

Similarly, Ahmadinejad's criticism that Mousavi's reformist supporters, including former President Khatami, had been willing to suspend Iran's uranium enrichment program and had won nothing from the West for doing so tapped into popular support for the program - and had the added advantage of being true.
Anyone who actually watched the debates (one wonders how many Western reporters, pundits, Iran "experts," and commentators are included in this demographic) would have known first-hand how singularly uncharismatic Mousavi was and how particularly lackluster was his debating style. Mousavi is a mumbler, a low-talker, and has about as much on-screen personality as Ben Stein on Klonopin. (How this man, absent from Iranian politics for the past twenty years, could become the leader of an energetic protest movement is anyone's guess, but you might want to ask the CIA first.)

Conversely, Ahmadinejad - as both his supporters and detractors would readily admit - is nothing if not an engaging, animated, and impassioned speaker. His outspoken nature and refusal to be bullied by opponents is apparent to anyone who has ever heard or seen him speak, whether they agree with what he says or not. Anyone who believes Mousavi won these debates either didn't actually watch them and/or decided to uncritically believe talking points distributed by the Mousavi campaign about their candidate's inspired performance.

Opponents of Ahmadinejad in the Western press - or, more accurately, everyone in the Western press - consistently refer to Ahmadinejad as an entrenched, establishment politician who has the unconditional backing of Iran's powerful theocratic hierarchy. As such, the current unrest in the nation's capital has been described as a grassroots, largely secular movement aimed at upsetting the religious orthodoxy of the government - embodied in such reports by Ahmadinejad himself - in an effort to fight for more personal freedoms and human rights in defiance of the country's revolutionary ideals. These reports betray the journalists' obvious misunderstanding of Iranian politics in general, and certainly of President Ahmadinejad's personal politics in particular.

In fact, Newsweek reported that, on Wednesday morning of last week, Mousavi's wife, Zahra Rahnavard, who was with her husband throughout the presidential campaign, felt the need to remind a group of students that she and her husband still believe in the ideals of the revolution and don't regard anti-Islamic Revolution elements as their allies.

Furthermore, even though here in the US, he is variably referred to as "hardline" and a religious conservative, Ahmadinejad is far more of a populist politician, consistently favoring nationalization, the redistribution of Iran's oil wealth, controlled prices of basic consumer goods, increased government subsidies, salaries, benefits, and insurance and continued opposition to foreign investment over his opponents' calls for more free-market privatization of education and agriculture, as well as the promotion of neoliberal strategies. Leading up to the election, Mousavi condemned what he called Ahmadinejad's "charity-based economic policy." I wonder how that attack played with the middle, lower, and impoverished classes of Iran's voting public. Oh right, Ahmadinejad got 63% of the vote, even if Juan Cole didn't want him to.

Ahmadinejad has often drawn the ire of both Iranian clerics and legislators alike for his outspoken views. In March 2008, The Economist noted that influential conservative clerics are said to be irritated by his "folksy and superstitious brand of ostentatious piety and his favouritism to men of military rather than clerical backgrounds." The conservative Rand Corporation even reminds us, "He is not a mullah; public frustration with rule by mullahs made this a very positive characteristic. He comes from a working-class background, which appealed to lower-income Iranians, the bulk of the electorate, yet he has a doctorate in engineering." In the 2005 presidential election, Ahmadinejad emerged as a dark horse to challenge front-runner and assumed shoe-in, former president Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani. As the son of a blacksmith, "Ahmadinejad benefited from the contrast between his modest lifestyle and Rafsanjani's obvious wealth, commonly known to stem from corruption." The Rand report even reiterates that "Rafsanjani is extraordinarily corrupt."

During both his presidential campaigns of 2005 and 2009, Ahmadinejad focused far more on "bread and butter" issues to win over his constituents, rather than on religion, saying things like this in his speeches: "People think a return to revolutionary values is only a matter of wearing the headscarf. The country's true problem is employment and housing, not what to wear."

In the past three months of campaigning for reelection, the incumbent made over sixty campaign trips throughout Iran, while Mousavi visited only major cities. Throughout the recent debates, Ahmadinejad took the opportunity to attack rampant corruption among high-ranking clerics within the Iranian establishment. The New York Times reported that "He accused Mr. Rafsanjani, an influential cleric, and Mr. Rafsanjani's sons of corruption and said they were financing Mr. Mousavi's campaign. Mr. Ahmadinejad also cited a long list of officials whom he accused of unspecified corrupt acts, including plundering billions of dollars of the country's wealth." The article continued,
Mr. Ahmadinejad contended that the early founders of the Iranian revolution, including Mr. Moussavi, had gradually moved away from the values of the revolution's early days and had become "a force that considered itself as the owner of the country."

He suggested that some leaders had indulged in an inappropriately lavish lifestyle, naming, among others, a former speaker of Parliament, Ali Akbar Nateq Nouri, who has opposed some of Mr. Ahmadinejad's policies. Mr. Nouri, a conservative, ran unsuccessfully for president in 1997. Mr. Ahmadinejad's remarks seemed to suggest a deepening divide between the president and a number of influential leaders, including some conservatives who belong to a faction that has supported Mr. Ahmadinejad.
Whereas these remarks may have struck a chord with the Iranian public, they provoked a stern rebuke from Supreme Guide Khamenei at last Friday's post-election prayer service. Khamenei, breaking a long-standing tradition of not mentioning specific people during his address, defended Rafsanjani's reputation by describing him as "one of the most significant and principal people of the movement in the pre-revolution era...[who] went to the verges of martyrdom several times after the revolution," also pointing out his bona fides as "a companion of Imam Khomeini, and after the demise of Imam Khomeini was perpetually a comrade of the leader."

Rafsanjani is currently the speaker of the Assembly of Experts, an 86 member elected council of clerics responsible for appointing and, if need be, dismissing and replacing the Supreme Guide of the Islamic Republic. In September 2007, Rafsanjani was elected speaker after decisively defeating a candidate supported by Ahmadinejad. He is also currently the leader of the Expediency Council which is "responsible for breaking stalemates between the Majlis and the Guardian Council, advising the Supreme Leader, and proposing policy guidelines for the Islamic Republic." As such, the Expediency Council limits the power wielded by the conservative Guardian Council, a body consisting of twelve jurists who evaluate the compatibility of the Majlis [Parliament]'s legislative decisions with Islamic law and the Iranian constitution. Moreover, in 2005, Khamenei strengthened the role of the Expediency Council by granting it supervisory powers over all branches of government, effectively affording the Expediency Council and its leader, Rafsanjani, oversight over the presidency. As a result, Rafsanjani retains a tremendous amount of power within Iranian politics. His strong support, both outspoken and financial, for Mousavi should show clearly that Mousavi - who was the Iranian Prime Minister during the Iran-Iraq War - is not some scrappy reformist challenger to the upper tiers of the Islamic Republic. He is as establishment as anyone else, if not more so.

But that's not all. Asia Times correspondant M.K. Bhadrakumar explains,
For those who do not know Iran better, suffice to say that the Rafsanjani family clan owns vast financial empires in Iran, including foreign trade, vast landholdings and the largest network of private universities in Iran. Known as Azad there are 300 branches spread over the country, they are not only money-spinners but could also press into Mousavi's election campaign an active cadre of student activists numbering some 3 million.

The Azad campuses and auditoria provided the rallying point for Mousavi's campaign in the provinces. The attempt was to see that the campaign reached the rural poor in their multitudes who formed the bulk of voters and constituted Ahmadinejad's political base. Rafsanjani's political style is to build up extensive networking in virtually all the top echelons of the power structure, especially bodies such as the Guardian Council, Expediency Council, the Qom clergy, Majlis, judiciary, bureaucracy, Tehran bazaar and even elements within the circles close to Khamenei. He called into play these pockets of influence.
The Grand Ayatollah Hossein Ali Montazeri has already come out against the election results, once again showing that the dynamic of the Iranian government is not that of a monolithic dictatorship, but a complex network of power plays. Basically, what we're seeing is all politics, and not a revolutionary uprising.

As allegations of fraud spread, Mousavi supporters in the United States seemed not to be able to get their stories straight. In co-ordinated mass emails, sent widely to promote protests across the country (and with all the "grassroots" pizzazz of those corporate-sponsored Republican Teabagging Parties in April), a number of unsubstantiated claims are noted as "Basic Statistics."

Some claim that there were not enough ballots available to the voting public, while others suggest that there were too many ballots in an attempt to stuff ballot boxes with pro-Ahmadinejad votes. It is claimed that "Voting irregularities occurred throughout Iran and abroad. Polls closed early, votes were not counted and ballots were confusing." Without providing any evidence of any of these accusations, the message reveals its own inaccuracy by deliberately spreading misinformation. Because turnout on election day was so high in Iran, polls actually remained open for up to four extra hours to allow as many people to cast ballots as possible. If Iranian authorities were prepared for a totalitarian takeover of the country after a faked election, why bother to keep polls open?

Also, the ballots weren't confusing. They had no list of names or added legislative initiatives. They had one single, solitary question on them: Who is your pick for president? There is one empty box to note a number corresponding to the candidate of your choice and another box in which you are to write the candidate's name. No hanging chads, no levers to pull, no political parties to consider. Just write the name of the guy you want to win. How is this confusing?

The suggestion that the ballots were counted too quickly to reflect a genuine result is in itself bizarre and unfounded. Al-Amin tells us, "There were a total of 45,713 ballot boxes that were set up in cities, towns and villages across Iran. With 39.2 million ballots cast, there were less than 860 ballots per box...Why would it take more than an hour or two to count 860 ballots per poll? After the count, the results were then reported electronically to the Ministry of the Interior in Tehran."

The elections in Iran are organized and monitored. The ballots are counted by teachers and professionals including civil servants and retirees, much like here in the US. An eyewitness from Shiraz provides this account:
"As an employee in City Hall, I was assigned to be a poll worker/watcher at the University of Shiraz on election day and here it was impossible for cheating to have taken place! There were close to 20 observers, from the Guardian Council, the Ministry of the Interior, and more than four-five representatives/observers from each candidate. Everybody was watching every single move, stamp, piece of paper, etc. from the checking of the Shenas-Nameh (personal indentification documentation) to the filling of the ballot boxes, to the counting of each ballot under everyone's eyes, and then registering the results into the computer and sending them to the Interior Ministry...Also, we had extra ballots in Shiraz. It's possible that in some of the smaller villages they ran out of ballots, but the voting hours were extended."
The opposition messages state that "The two main state news agencies in Iran declared the winner before polls closed and votes were counted." Actually, as mentioned above, it was Mousavi who declared his own victory several hours before the polls closed. Paul Craig Roberts, who is himself a former US government official, suggests that Mousavi's premature victory declaration is "classic CIA destabilization designed to discredit a contrary outcome. It forces an early declaration of the vote. The longer the time interval between the preemptive declaration of victory and the release of the vote tally, the longer Mousavi has to create the impression that the authorities are using the time to fix the vote. It is amazing that people don't see through this trick."

Circulating emails even contain this tidbit: "Two primary opponents of Ahmadinejad reject the notion that he won the election." Talk about proof!

Even Mousavi's own official letter of complaint - delivered to the Guardian Council after five days of promoting protests and opposition rallies on the streets of Tehran - is short on substantive allegations and devoid of hard evidence of anything remotely suggestive of voter fraud. The letter, which calls for an annulment of the election results and for a new election to take place, expounds on many non-election related issues, such as the televised debates, the incumbent's access to state-owned transportation on the campaign trail and use of government-controlled media to promote his candidacy. All previous Iranian presidents, including the reformist Mohammad Khatami, who is a main supporter of Mousavi, have used the resources at their disposal for election purposes. Plus, whereas the last point certainly seems unfair, it hardly amounts to fraud. The debates - the first ever held in the history of the Islamic Republic - also served to even up the score for Ahmadinejad's challengers.

Kaveh L. Afrasiabi, writing for the Asia Times, explains further:
Mousavi complains that some of his monitors were not accredited by the Interior Ministry and therefore he was unable to independently monitor the elections. However, several thousand monitors representing the various candidates were accredited and that included hundreds of Mousavi's eyes and ears.

They should have documented any irregularities that, per the guidelines, should have been appended to his complaint. Nothing is appended to Mousavi's two-page complaint, however. He does allude to some 80 letters that he had previously sent to the Interior Ministry, without either appending those letters or restating their content.

Finally, item eight of the complaint cites Ahmadinejad's recourse to the support given by various members of Iran's armed forces, as well as Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki's brief campaigning on Ahmadinejad's behalf. These are legitimate complaints that necessitate serious scrutiny since by law such state individuals are forbidden to take sides. It should be noted that Mousavi can be accused of the same irregularity as his headquarters had a division devoted to the armed forces.

Given the thin evidence presented by Mousavi, there can be little chance of an annulment of the result.
In response to the accusation of there being more votes in certain areas than registered voters, it must be acknowledged that in Iran, unlike in the United States, eligible voters may vote anywhere they wish - at any polling location in the entire country - and are not limited to their residential districts or precincts as long as their information is registered and valid in the government's database. Families vacationing North to avoid the stifling heat of the South would wind up voting in towns in which they are tourists. Afrasiabi even points out that, whereas "Mousavi complains that in some areas the votes cast were higher than the number of registered voters...he fails to add that some of those areas, such as Yazd, were places where he received more votes that Ahmadinejad."

Are these irrefutable examples of an election that was free of all outside interference, irregularities, or potential problems? No, of course not. But there is also no hard proof of a fixed result, let alone massive vote rigging on a scale never before seen in Iran, a country that - unlike the United States - has no history of fraudulent elections.

2009-06-25 Thu 20:11:00 cdt
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